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Is a TikTok ban the latest battle in the 'Tech Cold War'?

A smart phone with the TikTok prominently displayed on the screen

The U.S. House of Representatives overwhelmingly voted in favor of a bill that would require TikTok’s Chinese parent company, ByteDance, to divest its stake in the popular video-sharing app within 180 days (final vote: 352 to 65, 1 present). Should the bill become law, and should ByteDance fail to comply, TikTok would be banned from U.S.-based app stores and web hosting services (WaPo).

The arguments in favor are a popcorn bucket of election-year fear-mongering, drizzled with valid national security concerns. The arguments in opposition are a trail mix of reductive talking points, salted with valid civil rights concerns.

Hurry up and wait

  • Biden says he’d sign bill that could ban TikTok if Congress passes it: “If they pass it, I’ll sign it,” [President Biden] told reporters at Joint Base Andrews in Maryland’s Prince George’s County on March 8, 2024.
  • Senate Hits Brakes On Possible TikTok Ban: "Many senators share concerns about TikTok and its influence on Americans, but members on both sides of the aisle expressed unease about the House legislation on Tuesday. They cited how the bill takes specific aim at one company instead of the industry at large, which could open it up to potential legal challenges. They also worried about its effects on free speech in the U.S. and whether there might be unforeseen consequences to U.S. businesses."

The latest salvo in the 'Tech Cold War'?

A moot point?

A line chart showing year-over-year percent change in global daily average users for major social media platforms. The time scale starts at 2020 Q1 and ends with 2023 Q4. TikTok trends significantly higher to start, but nosedives during 2022 Q1. Trends for all other platforms is largely flat throughout.
Chart: Andy Kiersz/Business Insider

TikTok's growth rate has collapsed: "After demolishing the competition from 2020 through the first half of 2022, TikTok's DAU growth rate has collapsed. In the fourth quarter of 2023, the video service lagged Snapchat, YouTube, Instagram, and Facebook. Yes, you read that right: The ancient big blue app grew faster than TikTok."

What's the take?

Eva Galperin – Director of Cybersecurity at the Electronic Frontier Foundation:

"This terrible fucking idea has support from both sides of the aisle. What a shining example of bipartisan cooperation."
@evacide.bsky.social via Bluesky

Ian Bremmer – rapporteur of the UN High-Level Advisory Body on Artificial Intelligence, foreign affairs columnist and editor at large for Time magazine, and President of Eurasia Group:


Marcus Hutchins – a cybersecurity expert, renowned ex-hacker, and digital influencer:

"Am I missing something, or does Biden releasing a statement committing to signing the TikTok ban bill seem fairly high risk/low reward. I can't imagine many of the older generations give a crap whether it's banned or not, and certainly aren't going to be making voting decisions based on whether or not Biden has released a statement with his intentions to sign/not sign before the bill has even passed congress. But for the younger generation, this is a lot of people's livelihoods, their primary source of income, and their place for socializing. They're also less likely to be educated in the consequence of voting 3rd party, or worse, they are and will do it anyway out of spite because everyone is sick of the status quo. From my angle, unless there is some big demographic of swing voters who really care deeply about TikTok/China, it seems like one of those cases where it would have been better to have just said nothing at all."
@malwaretech@infosec.exchange via Mastodon

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